[Title]Research on the Characteristics of Transportation and the Future Evolution of Road Traffi c in Typical Cities in China

[Journal]Study on Modern Cities, No.1 Issue, 2024

[Author]Zongwei Liu, Wang Zhang, Ming Chen, Fuquan Zhao

[Abstract]To develop transportation systems tailored to the unique characteristics of diff erent cities and clearly define cars' role in these systems, this research first established a multi-level evaluation system representing the urban traffic situation in terms of external environment and traffic tools. Based on the first-level index scores, the traffic characteristics of nine selected typical cities in China were analyzed and classified into clusters. Subsequently, using multiple regression analysis, the main factors affecting urban road traffi c were identifi ed. Finally, by assuming scenarios of changes in related factors, the potential evolution of road traffi c effi ciency in each city was predicted, leading to the formulation of relevant policy suggestions.

[Key words]urban transportation; road congestion; evaluation index system; cluster analysis; scenario evolution

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